Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 4.303186 4.818682 5.379702 6.036948 6.787505 7.619831 8.615400
2025-02-09 3.591539 4.286928 5.100896 6.129296 7.401369 8.932754 10.930191
2025-02-16 3.131609 3.919832 4.894277 6.198499 7.914948 10.119783 13.203510
2025-02-23 2.802829 3.644855 4.732858 6.259556 8.375038 11.245152 15.506721
2025-03-02 2.468992 3.311575 4.440197 6.086737 8.468268 11.851637 17.138605
2025-03-09 2.233972 3.079313 4.248372 6.014391 8.669741 12.604251 19.049955
2025-03-16 2.036514 2.875915 4.070225 5.931713 8.830614 13.294411 20.933721
2025-03-23 1.955236 2.828947 4.108144 6.166211 9.488424 14.811213 24.345543
2025-03-30 1.822752 2.692316 3.996951 6.154085 9.746446 15.705618 26.819339
2025-04-06 1.696851 2.553891 3.868743 6.098019 9.919095 16.466407 29.149680
2025-04-13 1.524476 2.329204 3.586096 5.760698 9.576315 16.289744 29.708504
2025-04-20 1.444639 2.244969 3.520560 5.778928 9.849039 17.232022 32.535583
2025-04-27 1.400337 2.216848 3.547452 5.963859 10.450237 18.870892 37.057477
2025-05-04 1.344321 2.165014 3.530308 6.069296 10.916993 20.315078 41.427114
2025-05-11 1.287349 2.106904 3.497016 6.140895 11.325104 21.692396 45.885926
2025-05-18 1.233605 2.050047 3.460702 6.202002 11.716937 23.082772 50.614652
2025-05-25 1.149552 1.934091 3.310053 6.031140 11.621497 23.431895 52.940272
2025-06-01 1.087237 1.852489 3.215363 5.959579 11.721216 24.211587 56.449092
2025-06-08 1.028615 1.773660 3.119976 5.877767 11.789468 24.927356 59.921389
2025-06-15 1.015300 1.776775 3.177832 6.109825 12.560837 27.353623 68.368094
2025-06-22 0.972224 1.721531 3.120194 6.097826 12.788298 28.525312 73.614315
2025-06-29 0.927084 1.659550 3.045129 6.042345 12.910258 29.455254 78.356442
2025-07-06 0.853544 1.539081 2.847545 5.708525 12.351799 28.617450 77.725731